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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+9.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+8.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.60vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+4.64vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+5.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.00vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.95vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.66vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.58vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.60-5.86vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-8.37vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.5Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.6Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.64George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.74Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.14College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Kate Klement | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Hannah McNomee | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Emma White | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Mary Paz | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 23.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Amina Brown | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.