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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.72vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+6.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+7.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+4.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+1.42vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+2.15vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+1.70vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60+0.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.35vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-1.11vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.79vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.81vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.60vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-10.03vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.97Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.15Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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10.3College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.21Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Mary Paz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Golison | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% |
| Emma White | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 20.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 18.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.