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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+6.19vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.45vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+3.97vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+5.46vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia1.14+9.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-2.44vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.58vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.48vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.20+0.25vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-4.47vs Predicted
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15Washington University2.25-2.78vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-8.27vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.89-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.45Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.46Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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5.41Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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15.04University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.7Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.22Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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7.73Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.47Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Raul Rios | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 21.1% | 44.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 9.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 8.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 25.7% | 30.4% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.