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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.05vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.00vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+3.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+2.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-0.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of Florida2.20+1.27vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.89-3.12vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-5.51vs Predicted
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16Washington University2.25-3.92vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia1.14-1.97vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.53Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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9.56Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.08Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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15.03University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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14.52Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 8.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 8.2% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 43.7% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 24.4% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.