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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+7.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+5.28vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.23vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.89+5.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+2.75vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+2.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-2.37vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston1.26+5.80vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-5.58vs Predicted
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12Washington University2.25+0.13vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.20-0.76vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-6.12vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-5.48vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.70-9.05vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.82-10.44vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia1.14-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.28University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.75Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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5.63Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.8Texas A&M University at Galveston1.260.0%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.13Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.52Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.56Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.95University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Beck | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 24.8% | 36.7% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 7.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 8.2% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 21.4% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.