Race 13A

yale-women-interconference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Haley Andreasen 3.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 5.6% 6.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.4% 11.0% 13.1% 13.2%
Eva Ermlich 5.1% 6.4% 6.0% 5.7% 5.9% 7.6% 9.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 8.5% 7.1% 5.0%
Katherine McNamara 7.3% 8.1% 7.8% 8.8% 7.4% 8.8% 7.4% 9.2% 8.6% 7.1% 7.8% 5.7% 4.2% 1.8%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 4.2% 3.3% 5.5% 5.0% 6.2% 5.8% 6.6% 7.8% 6.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.7% 11.1% 7.6%
Emma Cowles 19.4% 15.0% 13.7% 12.7% 11.6% 8.2% 7.1% 4.2% 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.1% 4.7% 4.0% 5.6% 4.9% 6.5% 6.3% 8.6% 8.2% 9.8% 9.7% 10.7% 10.0% 7.2%
Adra Ivancich 3.4% 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 5.4% 5.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.8% 12.3% 13.2% 10.9%
Zoey Ziskind 12.2% 10.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.3% 10.3% 8.5% 8.0% 6.8% 6.2% 3.6% 2.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Brooke Schmelz 8.6% 8.8% 9.7% 9.2% 9.7% 8.9% 8.9% 7.7% 8.3% 6.6% 6.1% 4.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Eva Blauvelt 5.0% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 8.1% 7.3% 8.1% 10.5% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 5.6% 2.6%
Sarah Young 6.1% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 8.6% 8.8% 8.6% 8.8% 8.6% 8.1% 6.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.7%
Sophie Fisher 15.8% 15.5% 14.6% 11.4% 10.2% 9.8% 7.8% 5.1% 4.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Caitlin Derby 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 3.8% 3.9% 4.3% 5.0% 6.9% 8.6% 14.3% 40.2%
Gianna Dewey 4.2% 3.8% 4.9% 5.4% 5.1% 5.1% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 9.6% 10.8% 11.9% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.