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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+2.40vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+3.98vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.70+5.51vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.76+0.90vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71+3.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.16vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-2.30vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-2.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.79-4.24vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.40-0.27vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-2.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.71-3.17vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.00-5.44vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.20-0.90vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.72-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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4.4Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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6.9Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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10.68Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.73College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.56Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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15.1William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.2% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Hillary Noble | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Megan Magill | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 56.5% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.