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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+6.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+2.64vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.70vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+1.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.04+1.12vs Predicted
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9Washington University2.25+3.23vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-4.54vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.70-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.89-2.16vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.26+1.60vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.20-1.65vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-6.92vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia1.14-2.09vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.64Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.31Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.23Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.11Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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14.6Texas A&M University at Galveston1.260.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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9.08Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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14.91University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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9.45Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Raul Rios | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Ian Beck | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 37.4% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 8.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.