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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+8.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.89+6.87vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+3.36vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+1.30vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+2.09vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.43vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-3.36vs Predicted
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11Washington University2.25+1.03vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-4.09vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.70-6.09vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.08-8.34vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.26-0.28vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin3.04-6.68vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia1.14-2.04vs Predicted
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18University of Florida2.20-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.03Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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7.91Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.66Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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14.72Texas A&M University at Galveston1.260.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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14.96University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 7.3% |
| John Rolander | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Beck | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 23.3% | 38.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 25.0% | 40.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.