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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+5.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+3.41vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+3.48vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+5.46vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.89+3.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.47vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-2.04vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-4.42vs Predicted
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14Washington University2.25-1.86vs Predicted
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15University of British Columbia1.14-0.02vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.08-10.35vs Predicted
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17University of Florida2.20-4.69vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.48Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.46Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.96Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.14Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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14.98University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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5.65Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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14.49Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 8.4% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 21.6% | 43.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.3% |
| Alexander Thompson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 26.0% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.