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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+1.96vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44+1.82vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02+2.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-1.64vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.91-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii2.89-1.41vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.11-2.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-4.62vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia1.14+0.93vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of Florida2.20-3.91vs Predicted
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17Washington University2.25-5.00vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Boston College4.120.2%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.46Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.96University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.23Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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9.01Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.93University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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12.0Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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13.11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Axel Sly | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| John Rolander | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph David | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 17.1% | 51.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 11.1% |
| Nathan Ross | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 9.5% |
| Alex Schwinn | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.