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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+3.32vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+4.66vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+3.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.63vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12-0.57vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+1.95vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91+1.43vs Predicted
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9Hampton University3.02+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.89-0.40vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.04-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.20-1.76vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia1.14-1.11vs Predicted
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17Washington University2.25-4.97vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.49-10.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.66Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.19University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.95Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.43Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.39Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Hawaii2.890.0%1st Place
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8.55Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.24University of Florida2.200.0%1st Place
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13.17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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14.89University of British Columbia1.140.0%1st Place
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12.03Washington University2.250.0%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Joseph David | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 11.2% |
| Alex Schwinn | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 21.0% | 18.7% |
| Joseph Gustafson | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 50.6% |
| Nathan Ross | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| John Rolander | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.