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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+5.39vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+9.30vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+3.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+1.40vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+1.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.51vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.92-0.69vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-4.66vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.38-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.08-2.02vs Predicted
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15Washington University1.78-2.21vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-7.09vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.42-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.3Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.31University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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12.79Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.91Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Hawaii2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% |
| Will La Dow | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 20.2% |
| James Harvey | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 30.9% |
| John Hanna | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Soren Wilde | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.