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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+6.12vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+4.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.31vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.19vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+5.32vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74-0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70-1.75vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-2.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.26vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.92-2.75vs Predicted
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13Washington University1.78-0.07vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-2.59vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.42-3.88vs Predicted
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17University of Florida2.38-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.5Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.31Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.19Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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6.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.78Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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12.93Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.41Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Hawaii2.420.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Augie Dale | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Klement | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
| Will La Dow | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| John Hanna | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| James Harvey | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 34.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.9% | 15.4% |
| Soren Wilde | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.