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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+6.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.26vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+3.25vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+2.59vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+1.59vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.82vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.92+2.34vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-1.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.37vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.26+1.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-4.63vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.38-0.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-1.68vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-6.94vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.42-3.88vs Predicted
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16Washington University1.78-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.82Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.56Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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11.32Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Hawaii2.420.0%1st Place
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12.98Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.6% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Augie Dale | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| Kate Klement | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Soren Wilde | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 11.5% |
| James Harvey | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.