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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.92+7.13vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.10vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.49vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+1.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+0.50vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-1.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.42vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-2.91vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-3.79vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.32-0.79vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.38-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.32-2.81vs Predicted
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15Hampton University2.26-3.41vs Predicted
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16Washington University1.78-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.13University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.89Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.09Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.21Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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11.59Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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12.99Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Will La Dow | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.5% |
| Samuel Armington | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| James Harvey | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.