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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.53vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+2.57vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+1.31vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.84vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67-0.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.32+3.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-1.79vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-3.62vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.92-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.38-1.92vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-7.07vs Predicted
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15Washington University1.78-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.32-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.07St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.31Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.84Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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6.63Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.17Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.39Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.96Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Augie Dale | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Armington | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% |
| Will Holz | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| James Harvey | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 34.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.