← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.51+4.87vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.08+9.88vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.76+5.89vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii3.36+6.26vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.68+3.92vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.29+4.63vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+2.33vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.50+1.69vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.52+0.66vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston4.61-4.48vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.53-1.20vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.11vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.76-4.50vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-4.46vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University3.67-6.01vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.38vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan2.35-2.59vs Predicted
-
18Boston College3.50-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.87Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
-
11.88Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
-
8.89Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
-
10.26University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.92Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
10.63Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
-
9.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.69U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
-
9.66Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
-
5.52College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
-
9.8Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
-
8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.5Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
-
9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
-
8.99Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
-
14.41University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
-
9.6Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Allison Blecher | 14.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Lihan | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Megan Magill | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 14.5% | 37.8% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.