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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+4.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.37+3.87vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+2.14vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.06+5.44vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.48+3.02vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02-0.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.34-2.89vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-2.35vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-3.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.27-2.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07-1.04vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.20-0.66vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-4.37vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.69-4.33vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.06-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Harvard University2.4512.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.4010.3%1st Place
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6.87Brown University2.378.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.2510.8%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.063.5%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College1.485.0%1st Place
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6.44Boston College2.028.6%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.3%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.3411.2%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.5%1st Place
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7.8Brown University1.996.2%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.273.6%1st Place
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11.96Boston University1.072.4%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University0.201.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island1.053.0%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University0.692.1%1st Place
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13.71Connecticut College0.061.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Chase Decker | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Porter Bell | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Rory Murray | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.