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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+4.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.57+2.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.62+1.74vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.93+3.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.05+4.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania-0.50+3.34vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.52-3.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12-0.62vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-4.52vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.00-5.28vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.54-4.98vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.26-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Dartmouth College1.7113.9%1st Place
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6.39Brown University1.858.7%1st Place
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5.86Yale University1.5710.0%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University1.6211.9%1st Place
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8.54George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy1.185.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont-0.052.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.7%1st Place
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12.34University of Pennsylvania-0.501.3%1st Place
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6.35Old Dominion University1.528.2%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island0.121.8%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University1.006.5%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University0.544.7%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston1.268.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Ava Farley | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Ella Towner | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 24.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 17.9% | 39.5% |
| Marina Conde | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Ava Cornell | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.