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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+4.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+4.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.67+3.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+1.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.27+2.70vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.70+3.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.44vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-4.34vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.72+0.55vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.20+4.03vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.71-1.31vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-6.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-5.51vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.86-4.90vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.00-6.32vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.40-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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4.66Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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15.03William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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10.69Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.68Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.9College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Derrill Hagood | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 57.5% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% |
| Megan Magill | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.