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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+3.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.20vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+3.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+1.04vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.26+4.24vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.32+2.84vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.50-2.19vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.01-1.32vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-4.25vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.54-1.76vs Predicted
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13Washington University1.78-0.38vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-7.94vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-4.13vs Predicted
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17University of Florida2.38-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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4.49Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.49Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.04Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.24Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Hawaii2.320.0%1st Place
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6.81Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.68Stanford University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.24University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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12.62Washington University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.06Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Florida2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Hanna | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Russell Clarida | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Will Holz | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% |
| James Harvey | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 29.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| Samuel Armington | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.