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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+10.49vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+2.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+3.93vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13+8.00vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.93+7.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.69vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.25+2.89vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-4.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.81vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-4.78vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-3.67vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-8.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.73-8.80vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.93-6.70vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.36-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.49Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.33Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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15.21Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 6.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.6% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Alison Kent | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 20.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
| Charles Rees | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Shaw | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.