← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.88+5.74vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University3.49+6.21vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.97vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.36+0.92vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+2.08vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.89+0.47vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.23+1.97vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.18vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.40vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California2.93+0.44vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.18vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University2.38+0.61vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College2.80-2.46vs Predicted
-
14Texas A&M University1.36+1.09vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.39-6.75vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington2.25-3.20vs Predicted
-
17University of Michigan1.93-3.15vs Predicted
-
18University of Minnesota2.13-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.74Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.21George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
4.92Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
7.08Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.47College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.97Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
5.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.4University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.44University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.82University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
-
12.61Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.54Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
15.09Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
-
8.25Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
12.8University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
-
13.85University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.2% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Bradley Shaw | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 39.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| Alison Kent | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.