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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+5.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.06vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+4.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+4.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.82vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.89+0.56vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23+2.02vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38+4.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.93+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.38vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.85vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.25-1.59vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.42vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.13-2.78vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.36-1.54vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.93-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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5.06Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.2Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.61University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.87George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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15.46Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 6.4% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Alison Kent | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.9% |
| Bradley Shaw | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 43.8% |
| Christopher Cyr | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.