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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+8.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.14vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+3.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+3.05vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+1.57vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38+6.33vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+1.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.21vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.39-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.13+2.23vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.23-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.25-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.93-4.06vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.42vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.93-2.19vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.38vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.36-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.33Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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10.58Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.81University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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15.22Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.7% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alison Kent | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Bradley Shaw | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.