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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.82+9.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+6.93vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+2.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.89-1.50vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-4.09vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.39-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.13+2.21vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-3.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.25-1.59vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-2.76vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.93-5.73vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.36-1.61vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.93-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.79Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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5.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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6.5College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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4.91Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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8.33George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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12.24Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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15.39Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Charles Rees | 8.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.5% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alison Kent | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Hecht | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Shaw | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 42.2% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.