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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+5.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+2.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+4.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.45vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.25+4.62vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.13+3.31vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-0.69vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-5.15vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.93+0.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.32vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-6.64vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.36-0.66vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-4.54vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.82-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.26Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.07Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.57University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.62University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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8.98Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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15.34Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
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12.46Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alison Kent | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 13.7% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Charles Rees | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 16.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Shaw | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 41.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.