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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.98vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+6.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.80vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.89+1.51vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.45vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73-0.99vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-1.04vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.38-1.33vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82-0.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.25-0.49vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.93-4.09vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-2.74vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.36-0.57vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.13-3.73vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.93-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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5.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.96George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.73Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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12.26Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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15.43Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 9.2% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Bradley Shaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 42.4% |
| Alison Kent | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.