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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+5.65vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.87+8.55vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+6.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.67vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.48vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89-0.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.25+3.59vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.36-4.96vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-3.95vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-3.84vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.38-1.04vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.93-1.40vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.33-3.68vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.13-3.89vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.36-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.59University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.96Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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15.12Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 8.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 16.7% |
| Peter Wong | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Alison Kent | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 12.4% |
| Bradley Shaw | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.