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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+5.20vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.85vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.87+6.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36-0.12vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.89+0.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+0.21vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38+3.13vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-0.88vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.25+0.88vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.93+0.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.13-2.01vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.33-3.64vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.80-6.35vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.36-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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5.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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4.88Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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6.4College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.13Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Michigan1.930.0%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Minnesota2.130.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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15.1Texas A&M University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.2% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% |
| Christopher Cyr | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Alison Kent | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 11.6% |
| Peter Wong | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 8.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Bradley Shaw | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.