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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+4.03vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+2.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+3.08vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+1.83vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.62vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-1.65vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98-0.89vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-4.22vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.84+3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.85-0.30vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.88-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.95+0.17vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.47-5.25vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.51-0.97vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.72-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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5.64College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.26Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.35George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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14.37University of Minnesota0.840.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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11.75Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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14.17University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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15.03Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.96Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 24.1% | 27.3% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 23.5% |
| John Coakley | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 23.8% | 38.4% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.