← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.76+5.51vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.43+2.35vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.27+5.56vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.40+7.75vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.71+5.49vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.67+1.13vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.79-0.38vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.59vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.50-1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.70+0.65vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.71-0.21vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College3.00-2.44vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-5.03vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.86-3.73vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.68vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.72-5.30vs Predicted
-
17William and Mary1.20-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.51Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
-
4.35Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
-
8.56Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.75College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
-
10.49Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.13Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.62Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
6.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.84Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.65University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
-
10.79U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.56Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
10.7Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
-
15.1William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mace | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 10.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 5.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Magill | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hillary Noble | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Derrill Hagood | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.