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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+5.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.57+3.83vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.62+2.85vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+2.75vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+0.22vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.52+0.22vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+0.39vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+0.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania-0.50+2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12-0.63vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.54-3.17vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.76-0.34vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.00-6.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Brown University1.857.9%1st Place
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5.83Yale University1.5710.8%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University1.6211.5%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston1.268.5%1st Place
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5.22Dartmouth College1.7112.7%1st Place
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6.22Old Dominion University1.529.4%1st Place
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7.39Northeastern University1.187.6%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University0.935.1%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.5%1st Place
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12.07University of Pennsylvania-0.501.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island0.123.0%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University0.544.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Vermont-0.760.8%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University1.005.9%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy1.185.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Foley | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| bella casaretto | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 23.2% | 30.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 10.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 42.1% |
| Ava Cornell | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Ava Farley | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.