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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+7.06vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+6.89vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+6.02vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+4.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.99vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.04vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.36-1.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.72vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-0.91vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-0.30vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.70vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-1.58vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.58vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-3.40vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.08-7.97vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-6.44vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.06Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.02University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.44Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.74Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.7George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.42Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.03Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.56Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Charles Rees | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Will Holz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.