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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+8.05vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+6.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+6.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.75vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+4.48vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.81vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08+0.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.65vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52+1.43vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.59+0.43vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23+0.72vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.240.00vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-2.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.30vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-6.36vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-6.84vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.89-8.05vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.87Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.48Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.81Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.43University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.72Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.32George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.16Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Raul Rios | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Will Holz | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Charles Rees | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.