← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+7.23vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.96vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.08+5.15vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.36+2.79vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.24+6.44vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.81vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.73+2.50vs Predicted
-
8Boston College4.12-0.20vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.89-0.25vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University3.49+0.76vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.88-1.98vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.23+0.02vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.59-3.08vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.82-5.23vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University3.52-4.63vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.80vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.90vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University3.70-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.0%1st Place
-
8.15Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.79Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
11.44Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.81U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.5Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.8Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
8.75College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
10.76George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.02Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
12.02Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
9.92University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
-
8.77Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
10.37Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
-
13.2University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.4Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Raul Rios | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Charles Rees | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Will Holz | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 25.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.