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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+7.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+6.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+6.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.64vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.01vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.17vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+2.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73+0.46vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.70-0.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24+0.78vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.75vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-4.44vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-3.90vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-4.94vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.89-7.13vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-5.26vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.1Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.45George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University3.730.0%1st Place
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9.9Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.78Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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8.87College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Will Holz | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% |
| Charles Rees | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.