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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+8.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+6.21vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+7.69vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+5.99vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.99vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70+2.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88+0.72vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.36-2.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.73vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.12vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-1.11vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-5.31vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.24vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-5.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.16vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-5.26vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.23-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.69Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.62Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.72Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.73Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.89George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.43Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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11.74Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Will Holz | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Raul Rios | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 21.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.