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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+7.30vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+4.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.18+4.98vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+2.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.57-0.15vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.62-1.14vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.26-1.30vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.00-1.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-3.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.05-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-5.60vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania-0.50-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3George Washington University0.935.2%1st Place
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6.22Old Dominion University1.529.4%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy1.186.0%1st Place
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5.21Dartmouth College1.7112.8%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University1.5710.2%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University1.6210.5%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston1.268.6%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University1.006.5%1st Place
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6.21Brown University1.859.7%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University0.544.3%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont-0.051.5%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island-0.202.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.2%1st Place
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12.32University of Pennsylvania-0.501.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
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Avery Canavan | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
Marina Conde | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Ava Farley | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
bella casaretto | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Audrey Foley | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Kate Danielson | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Emily Alfortish | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Ava Cornell | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
Laura Hamilton | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Maisie MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
Ella Towner | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 23.5% |
Emaline Ouellette | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 24.1% |
Karya Basaraner | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
Esme Gonzalez | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 20.0% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.