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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+8.86vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+6.20vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.59+7.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+5.27vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.78vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+2.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+2.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.05vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-3.01vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-1.05vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.24vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-3.46vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.89-7.14vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.82-7.74vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.4University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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7.88Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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6.78Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.6Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.95George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.74Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.54Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Will Holz | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 22.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.6% |
| Charles Rees | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.