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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.52+9.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.83vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+5.85vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+10.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.59+3.93vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70+2.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.26vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-0.10vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.36-3.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.27vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.79vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.71vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.49-4.71vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-4.08vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.96vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.73-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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14.0Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.81Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.93University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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6.91Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.57Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.29George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.92Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Raul Rios | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Charles Rees | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 33.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.