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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.78vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.81vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+6.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+4.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.66vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+3.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+3.38vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.23vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.08-1.91vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.07vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-3.24vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.43vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-5.73vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-5.54vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.70-7.35vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.72Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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11.38Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.09Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Raul Rios | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Charles Rees | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 18.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte List | 2.1% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 14.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.