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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+7.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.89vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+5.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.80vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+2.79vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+2.96vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.91vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49+0.66vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-4.17vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.79vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-2.88vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-0.08vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-3.63vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.70-6.48vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-8.22vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.77-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.91College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.96University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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8.85Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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13.92Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.37Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Raul Rios | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Charles Rees | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% |
| Charlotte List | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 14.4% | 33.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.