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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+10.77vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.98vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+4.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+7.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49+5.47vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.97vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-0.08vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.74vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52+0.69vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-1.72vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.70-1.98vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.20vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-4.94vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.73-6.43vs Predicted
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17Boston College4.12-8.97vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.89-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.77Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.0%1st Place
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7.03Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.45Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.92Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.69Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.28Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.02Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.8University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University3.730.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 3.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 23.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Raul Rios | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Charles Rees | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.