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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+9.27vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+8.64vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.87+10.27vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+4.73vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70+4.52vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+1.81vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+2.09vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.36-1.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.03vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-2.06vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.27vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.61vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-3.47vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.08-7.93vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-5.22vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.27University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.09Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.76Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.94Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.53Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.07Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.36George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Will Holz | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 23.6% |
| Charles Rees | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Raul Rios | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.