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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+6.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.70+7.94vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+6.33vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.88+4.71vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.75vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.97vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.72vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-0.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-2.02vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24+0.02vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-2.61vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.59-4.22vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.94vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.23-4.29vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-7.49vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.52-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.94Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.98College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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12.02Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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13.06University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.19Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Charles Rees | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 22.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Will Holz | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.