← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+7.25vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.82+7.36vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.20vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.24+7.47vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University4.36+1.83vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.97vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.78vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.70+1.54vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.35vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.59+0.38vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.23+0.75vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University3.49-1.04vs Predicted
-
13Boston College4.12-5.30vs Predicted
-
14College of Charleston3.89-5.45vs Predicted
-
15Brown University3.88-6.19vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University3.52-5.54vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.80vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University3.77-8.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.36Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
-
8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.47Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
6.83Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.54Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
-
8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
10.38University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.75Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.96George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
7.7Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
8.55College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.81Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
10.46Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
-
13.2University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
9.14Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charles Rees | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Will Holz | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 25.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.