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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+7.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.88vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+4.89vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+4.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+3.33vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.32vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52+2.12vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.27vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24+0.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-2.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.44vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-3.91vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-0.83vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.59-5.95vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.95vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.70-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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7.89Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.33Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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7.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.55Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.56Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.09George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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14.17Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Charles Rees | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte List | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 32.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 21.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.