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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+4.74vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+2.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.62+0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania-0.50+6.19vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.93+1.40vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.26-1.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.54-0.17vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.52-3.81vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.05+0.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-3.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-5.60vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.00-6.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Yale University1.5711.8%1st Place
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6.26Brown University1.8510.1%1st Place
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5.4Dartmouth College1.7112.2%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy1.186.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University1.6210.2%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania-0.501.5%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University0.934.5%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston1.268.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University0.544.5%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University1.529.4%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont-0.051.9%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.5%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University1.006.5%1st Place
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11.59University of Rhode Island-0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Kate Danielson | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 35.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Marina Conde | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 23.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Ava Cornell | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.