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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+7.09vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.78vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+7.61vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+3.64vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.89+2.65vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70+2.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73+1.25vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-0.90vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-2.66vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-0.85vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.02vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-6.61vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.1University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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14.15Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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11.21Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Charles Rees | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Raul Rios | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 33.9% |
| Drew Gallagher | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 20.5% |
| Will Holz | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.