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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.87+12.20vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+7.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.06vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+7.46vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+4.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88+1.86vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+2.63vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.70-0.11vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-3.60vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.73-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.59-4.22vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.49-4.50vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-5.55vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.87vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University4.36-11.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.2University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.63Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.89Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.4Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.78University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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10.5George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.45Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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8.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.59Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gallagher | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 26.1% |
| Charles Rees | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Will Holz | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.