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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+7.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+6.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+5.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+2.13vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+4.30vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.40vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.92+4.73vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21+2.43vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.47+0.30vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-1.49vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.61vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-2.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.49vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-4.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.44vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.69vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.98-5.38vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.3Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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11.73University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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10.43Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.3Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.76Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Will La Dow | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% |
| Sean Golden | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.