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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+7.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+8.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92+7.60vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.34vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.60vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-0.87vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.47-0.38vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-0.38vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-1.96vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-4.53vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.04vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-6.57vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-4.94vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.98-5.37vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.48-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.13Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.04George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.47College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.06Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.11Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 17.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Golden | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.